Research2026-10-30

Robert E. Litan proposes a government insurance plan for AI-driven job disruption. It combines wage insurance, retraining assistance, and entry-level tax credits. The plan would cost about $60 billion yearly under a 6% unemployment equivalent scenario. Private insurers cannot cover AI job risks due to high correlation and unknown actuarial bases. UBI is dismissed as too costly and insufficient for higher-income displaced workers. The proposal treats AI disruption like other low-probability, high-impact events. Each policy targets a different aspect of worker transition. Over 1,000 economists have urged action on AI labor market risks. Public concern about AI job disruption remains high in the U.S.

What it unlocks

Government-backed insurance to cover AI-driven job displacement through wage insurance, retraining assistance, and entry-level tax credits.

  • $60 billion per year
  • 6% sustained unemployment equivalent
  • $784 billion net annual cost for UBI

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