Research2026-10-22

Forrester predicts AI will expose governments' lack of digital sovereignty in 2027. Political intervention will derail $40 billion in government technology procurement. At least one G7 country will air-gap a sensitive system after an autonomous AI attack. Two-fifths of OECD countries will implement AI labor-market transition strategies. Governments will fragment technology markets and add obligations on suppliers. Sovereignty will require alliances and selective investments rather than self-sufficiency. Governments will measure resilience by their ability to disconnect safely. The figures come from a Forrester report.

What changed

Governments regulated tech giants and reduced dependence on them.

What it unlocks

Governments can assess and mitigate sovereign risk in technology procurement and deployment.

  • $40B in derailed government tech procurement
  • 40% of OECD countries to adopt AI labor strategies
  • 90 days without public cloud for sensitive systems

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