Research2026-09-15

RAND argues superintelligence may be possible as frontier AI advances. It says the stakes include geopolitics and humanity’s survival. Seven strategy archetypes dominate the debate. Five pivotal uncertainties cannot be resolved with current evidence. Premature commitment to one strategy forecloses options. RAND recommends a Freedom of Action strategy. It aims to preserve the ability to secure advantage and ensure survival. The strategy covers the transition to superintelligence.

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